Uncharted Territories

Uncharted Territories

Why Is Japan’s Population Shrinking So Much?

Tomas Pueyo's avatar
Tomas Pueyo
Oct 03, 2026
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Population grows based on births, deaths, and immigration. The Japanese live long, but their immigration and fertility rates have been dismal for much longer than in other developed coutnries.

Births

Japan dropped below 2 children per woman around 1960, much earlier than Western countries (and Eastern ones). It hovered around that until they converged in …
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