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Dominic Stocchetti's avatar

Nice update! What are your thoughts on something like UBI? Have you ever pondered on what a post ASI economy looks like?

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Never Supervised's avatar

I think you’re leaning too doomer on AGI. The particulars of FOOM is not just whether the AI is connected to the internet, but whether it can spread onto other compute substrate. While most AI runs on GPUs, it requires extremely high memory bandwidth and precision networking. It’s not clear that a genius AI would be able to increase its intelligence by gobbling up more compute. Additionally, as of right now, the compute necessary for superintelligence would require improvements all the way down the stack of semi conductors and increased production, as well as an order of magnitude more electric power. There are dozens of limiting factors that depend on processes whose speed is dampened by reality (R&D, manufacturing, mining, etc.).

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