11 Comments
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Tim Lundeen's avatar

Fascinating article, thanks!

Adds a lot of context to T.E. Laurence's book, Seven Pillars of Wisdom: A Triumph -- one of the few books I've read 3 times.

James Giammona's avatar

Excellent summary! Learned a lot!

Feral Finster's avatar

And not a word about Saudi Arabia's de facto ally - Israel.

Israel prefers its neighbors remain monarchies, corrupt, tribal, backward and with weak state institutions and little claim on the loyalty of their citizens.

Tomas Pueyo's avatar

Israel belongs to the next article on how Saudi Arabia wants to approach its future.

But I wonder, 5,000 words on Saudi Arabia in which Israel is not mentioned and your comment is a criticism of Israel?!

Feral Finster's avatar

Not a criticism of Israel, simply a gap that I found interesting.

Gregor Samsa's avatar

Cool, lots of stuff that anyone that didn't go to school in the US already knows and all that without a single mention of "the poor guy with the hardest job in the world" having a fable for murdering journalists.

Iustin Pop's avatar

Very interesting, about a country I didn't know much. Thanks!

The Gadfly Doctrine's avatar

Thanks for such a detailed and thoughtful synthesis. I wrote this short piece on Jan 13 and my thesis is quantitatively supported by your excellent research.

https://alkoch55.substack.com/p/super-shia-state?r=kmlt&utm_medium=ios

Tomas Pueyo's avatar

Thanks!

Just a heads up: I followed your link and it looks like your map is AI-generated and placed at least Yemen and Iraq wrong?

The Gadfly Doctrine's avatar

Thank you for spotting that. The map was illustrative, but the AI rendering appears to have misplaced Yemen and Iraq. That is my oversight.

I am still refining how I constrain AI image tools to prevent geographic drift. If you have suggestions for improving cartographic accuracy, I would welcome them.

Tomas Pueyo's avatar

Yeah AI is not ready for cartography because carto requires precision and these are probabilistic. They’re basically hallucinating too much