LLMs are largely junk, but automation is not. Obviously, all drivers will be replaced by automation in the near future. The computer does 99% of the driving/piloting, with a human acting as "herders" for a team of trucks or other vehicles. The herder can relax (listen to music, sleep, play on the internet) until a problem arises that the…
LLMs are largely junk, but automation is not. Obviously, all drivers will be replaced by automation in the near future. The computer does 99% of the driving/piloting, with a human acting as "herders" for a team of trucks or other vehicles. The herder can relax (listen to music, sleep, play on the internet) until a problem arises that the computer can't handle (thief trying to steal one of the vehicles, need to mount snow chains, etc). If average of 1 herder for 5 long hail trucks, 80% reduction in drivers. Plus herders can "work" much longer hours because they only occasionally need to do anything.
There are already machines that automatically milk cows (cow quickly learns to enter the machine when her udders are uncomfortably swollen), so no more getting up at 4AM for dairy farmers. Future machines will eliminate other tedious and repetitive farm work. And also tedious and repetitive factory work.
In health care, obviously machines can already do better diagnostics (not these idiotic generative AI LLMs but regular pattern matching AI). Future machines will automate many surgical tasks, and do them much better than humans with huge and clumsy hands wielding huge scalpels and needles. This will not eliminate jobs but rather increase jobs (Jevons paradox) because so many things worth doing that weren't worth dying previously. You'll be able to get a monthly skin cancer exam and immediate removal of any and all moles for a very low price (at least in China, USA may continue to be dysfunctional). Routine plastic surgery will be cheap and quick. Etc. Humans will supervise (prevent some idiot from breaking machine, deal with complications).
Dangerous jobs like underground mining and undersea welding will be automated. Humans might guide overall operations (by fiber optic from far away) but routine tasks will be fully automated. Part of automation process will involve design for machine labor versus humans, so mining/welding might look somewhat different from now.
Historically, agricultural/mining/industrial production was correlated with population. Big population -> big capacity to support big military -> ability to conquer neighbors. Downside of big population was internal schisms, civil wars, etc. Hence our current situation of multiple sovereign states, versus one world government, with sovereign states either big population or else vassals of a big population state. Automation might emphasize quality versus quantity. Small, cohesive and high skill populations might dominate large, fractious, diverse populations with lots of low skill humans mixed in to that large population. This might lead to massive exterminations, as countries with large populations are reconstituted to be small, cohesive and high skill.
LLMs are largely junk, but automation is not. Obviously, all drivers will be replaced by automation in the near future. The computer does 99% of the driving/piloting, with a human acting as "herders" for a team of trucks or other vehicles. The herder can relax (listen to music, sleep, play on the internet) until a problem arises that the computer can't handle (thief trying to steal one of the vehicles, need to mount snow chains, etc). If average of 1 herder for 5 long hail trucks, 80% reduction in drivers. Plus herders can "work" much longer hours because they only occasionally need to do anything.
There are already machines that automatically milk cows (cow quickly learns to enter the machine when her udders are uncomfortably swollen), so no more getting up at 4AM for dairy farmers. Future machines will eliminate other tedious and repetitive farm work. And also tedious and repetitive factory work.
In health care, obviously machines can already do better diagnostics (not these idiotic generative AI LLMs but regular pattern matching AI). Future machines will automate many surgical tasks, and do them much better than humans with huge and clumsy hands wielding huge scalpels and needles. This will not eliminate jobs but rather increase jobs (Jevons paradox) because so many things worth doing that weren't worth dying previously. You'll be able to get a monthly skin cancer exam and immediate removal of any and all moles for a very low price (at least in China, USA may continue to be dysfunctional). Routine plastic surgery will be cheap and quick. Etc. Humans will supervise (prevent some idiot from breaking machine, deal with complications).
Dangerous jobs like underground mining and undersea welding will be automated. Humans might guide overall operations (by fiber optic from far away) but routine tasks will be fully automated. Part of automation process will involve design for machine labor versus humans, so mining/welding might look somewhat different from now.
Historically, agricultural/mining/industrial production was correlated with population. Big population -> big capacity to support big military -> ability to conquer neighbors. Downside of big population was internal schisms, civil wars, etc. Hence our current situation of multiple sovereign states, versus one world government, with sovereign states either big population or else vassals of a big population state. Automation might emphasize quality versus quantity. Small, cohesive and high skill populations might dominate large, fractious, diverse populations with lots of low skill humans mixed in to that large population. This might lead to massive exterminations, as countries with large populations are reconstituted to be small, cohesive and high skill.