How exposed is Israel to war with other countries?
At 62 years old, passionate with history and geography since my infancy, since I've found your profile I'm always learning A LOT with your fantastic work. Thank you!! Hugs from Brasil 👏👏👏👏🙏
Is your persistent (though not consistent) use of the word “Palestine” in place of Israel a foreshadowing of your agenda with this series? Are you planning on educating or influencing? What background, expertise and education and/or personal experience do you have in Middle East history? Over the last 15-20 years, have you been to the Middle East? Anywhere in that region? If so, where, for how long and for what reason? I read that in Dec 2021 you predicted the end of nation-states. Do your readers know who you are? Have they read this, for example: https://brownstone.org/articles/tomas-pueyo-returns-the-mba-who-shut-down-europe-on-masks-and-the-cochrane-review/
What’s your end-game with this series? What do you really want to tell us? I look forward to reading and perhaps learning more.
Anxiously waiting for more articles from you about Israel.
Looking forward to more
Another great series not unlike your Covid series that appeared in th NY Times
I look forward to a wide dissemination of this also
Haven’t gotten to the article yet but the headline “Will Israel be at War” seems odd because Israel declared war a few days ago. Israel already is at war.
And for good measure, here's a new backgrounder from Amy Stoken. 🔯 https://jewdicious.substack.com/p/marching-toward-madness-the-hate
Tomas, I appreciate your series and balanced analysis, but I’ll disagree with you on a couple of threats.
1. Iran for its own Machiavellian reasons (a theocracy hated by many of its citizens) is a regional power that invests enormous amounts of money, training and prestige in preparing a realistic threat to Israel through multiple simultaneous fronts - Syria, Lebanon and Gaza. You must have noticed daily fire into Israel from Lebanon since October 7th and on occasion Syria. There is zero basis to Lebanese violence, other than that it’s a failed state, with the Iranian regime’s proxy having more power than the Lebanese army.
2. Lebanon is exactly the same genocidal threat to hundreds of thousands of Israeli in the north. Hezbollah has planned the same massacre in Israeli border towns as Hamas did to Israelis on the Gaza border. Maybe that’s not an existential threat yo the entire country, but it’s absolutely a realistic threat of massacres to all who live in the north.
3. Hezbollah has the same DNA as Hamas with regards to intentional rocket attacks on civilians, but is a larger threat.
In conclusion, you seriously downplayed the threat of Iran’s axis of genocidal religious savages.
I found this fascinating and am eagerly waiting for more! I am still a little bit confused about the division between palestine and israel like where the horders are