Great article. Thanks for posting. Quick question about the final bar chart: for apple to apple comparison, shouldn't you consider weighing the odds of getting covid? In other word, if you get the vaccine, you have 50/100K chances of getting side effects. If you do not get the vaccine, you have 600/100K chances of getting side effects co…
Great article. Thanks for posting. Quick question about the final bar chart: for apple to apple comparison, shouldn't you consider weighing the odds of getting covid? In other word, if you get the vaccine, you have 50/100K chances of getting side effects. If you do not get the vaccine, you have 600/100K chances of getting side effects conditioning on getting covid. Let's say that 20% of kids will get covid (I don't know what the right number is). Then, shouldn't you divide the covid bar by 5? Would the two bars be comparable then? Maybe I am missing something...
Yes. I mention it in the article. Based on Omicron and the evolution of variants, I put the likelihood of getting exposed to COVID in the next few months / years high enough that I didn't think it was useful to discount it. If you disagree, feel free to do exactly what you say!
Great article. Thanks for posting. Quick question about the final bar chart: for apple to apple comparison, shouldn't you consider weighing the odds of getting covid? In other word, if you get the vaccine, you have 50/100K chances of getting side effects. If you do not get the vaccine, you have 600/100K chances of getting side effects conditioning on getting covid. Let's say that 20% of kids will get covid (I don't know what the right number is). Then, shouldn't you divide the covid bar by 5? Would the two bars be comparable then? Maybe I am missing something...
Yes. I mention it in the article. Based on Omicron and the evolution of variants, I put the likelihood of getting exposed to COVID in the next few months / years high enough that I didn't think it was useful to discount it. If you disagree, feel free to do exactly what you say!
ok. thanks!