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Future History

The Future of Fertility
Sheila is 25. She has 17 children.
 • Tomas Pueyo
The Future of Petrostates After Oil
It’s 2050, and petrostates around the world are in a mess of civil wars and failed states. What happened? Why? What can we do about it?
 • Tomas Pueyo
Peak Oil Is Coming
In early markets, hybrids always prevail because there’s not enough electric infrastructure. As it develops and people can charge their cars more…
 • Tomas Pueyo
GeoHistory Magazine Part 1 | 2025 Q4
The future of nation-states, new cities and their science, and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
 • Tomas Pueyo
Silk, Porcelain, Tea, Opium: 2000 Years of Trade Deficit with China
And how that determines the China of today
 • Tomas Pueyo
Why Were Germany and Italy the Last European Countries to Unify?
And what that tells us about the future of nation-states
 • Tomas Pueyo
Rise Up, Europe!
The Five Beliefs That Cripple a Continent
 • Tomas Pueyo
Robotaxis Are Here
Within 1-5 years, our daily transportation will be upended, and cities will be reshaped.
 • Tomas Pueyo
What Asian Development Can Teach the World
The Magic Development of Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, and China, and What That Tells Us about US Tariffs, China’s Future, EU Protectionism, Japan’s…
 • Tomas Pueyo
The Steps to AGI
How LLMs work, how they're improving today, what are the next ways in which they can get better, and is that a straight shot to AGI?
 • Tomas Pueyo
AI Weeks When Decades Happen
How fast AI is improving, and how that's impacting jobs today
 • Tomas Pueyo
The Most Important Time in History Is Now
AGI Is Coming Sooner Due to o3, DeepSeek, and Other Cutting-Edge AI Developments
 • Tomas Pueyo
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